Employment effects of the National Living Wage

{
  "buyer": {
    "id": "GB-PPON-PDDW-8983-PTPH",
    "name": "Low Pay Commission"
  },
  "date": "2025-12-19T19:20:20Z",
  "id": "085180-2025",
  "initiationType": "tender",
  "language": "en",
  "ocid": "ocds-h6vhtk-05fb00",
  "parties": [
    {
      "address": {
        "country": "GB",
        "countryName": "United Kingdom",
        "locality": "London",
        "postalCode": "E14 4PU",
        "region": "UKI42",
        "streetAddress": "Ground Floor, 10 South Colonnade, Canary Wharf"
      },
      "contactPoint": {
        "email": "lpc@lowpay.gov.uk",
        "name": "Tim Butcher"
      },
      "details": {
        "classifications": [
          {
            "description": "Public authority - central government",
            "id": "publicAuthorityCentralGovernment",
            "scheme": "UK_CA_TYPE"
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        "url": "https://www.gov.uk/government/organisations/low-pay-commission"
      },
      "id": "GB-PPON-PDDW-8983-PTPH",
      "identifier": {
        "id": "PDDW-8983-PTPH",
        "scheme": "GB-PPON"
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      "name": "Low Pay Commission",
      "roles": [
        "buyer"
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  ],
  "tag": [
    "tender"
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  "tender": {
    "aboveThreshold": false,
    "description": "The Low Pay Commission (LPC) invites tenders for research using novel methods or data to analyse the impact of recent increases in the minimum wage. We are specifically interested in the impacts on employment (and hours), but research may cover a range of other outcomes.\nThe Low Pay Commission is a non-departmental public body that advises the government about the National Minimum Wage (NMW), including the National Living Wage (NLW) and the minimum wage rates for young workers and apprentices. We are responsible for evaluating the effects of the NMW and NLW and making recommendations on future rates. To carry out these functions, our work involves:\n\u2022\tcarrying out extensive research and consultation with employers, workers and their representatives and taking written and oral evidence from a wide range of organisations;\n\u2022\tanalysing relevant data to understand the state of the economy and labour market and the impact of the minimum wage;\n\u2022\tcommissioning research projects into these questions.\nThe LPC carries out its own descriptive and econometric analysis of the labour market and the impact of minimum wage increases, including using econometric methods . However, some of the key data sources we rely on, including the Labour Force Survey, have suffered from data quality issues since the pandemic. We are therefore looking for research that would use alternative data sources and/or develop novel methods to provide robust quantitative estimates of the impact of increases in the minimum wage since 2019.\nThe estimated maximum cost of the contract is \u00a380,000 (exclusive of VAT; \u00a396,000 including VAT). We recognise that proposed projects may vary significantly in their scale and resource requirements and anticipate bids in the range \u00a350,000 to \u00a380,000.\nThis procurement is for research delivering its final findings in September 2027 with interim findings in September 2026. If your proposed project could be completed to a shorter timeframe, we strongly encourage you to submit a bid under LPC 2025/05 (Open call for research on the minimum wage).",
    "documents": [
      {
        "description": "A detailed description of the project requirements is provided in the Invitation to Tender (ITT) document published on the Low Pay Commission website.\nThe pricing schedule template can be found alongside the ITT document.\nNote that there may be a short delay in the linked page going live. If you are unable to access it initially, please try again on the following working day.",
        "documentType": "biddingDocuments",
        "id": "L-1",
        "url": "https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/low-pay-commission-call-for-research-for-2026-and-beyond"
      },
      {
        "datePublished": "2025-12-19T19:20:20Z",
        "description": "Tender notice on Find a Tender",
        "documentType": "tenderNotice",
        "format": "text/html",
        "id": "085180-2025",
        "noticeType": "UK4",
        "url": "https://www.find-tender.service.gov.uk/Notice/085180-2025"
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    ],
    "enquiryPeriod": {
      "endDate": "2026-01-12T14:00:00Z"
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    "id": "LPC 2025/06",
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            "description": "Research and development services and related consultancy services",
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    "legalBasis": {
      "id": "2023/54",
      "scheme": "UKPGA",
      "uri": "https://www.legislation.gov.uk/ukpga/2023/54/contents"
    },
    "lots": [
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        "awardCriteria": {
          "description": "Tenders shall be evaluated using the Most Advantageous Tender (MAT) methodology. This is where the Authority assesses a Tender based on a combination of commercial, quality, and price elements. The Authority chooses to award the Contract, the Authority shall award the Contract to the Tenderer which submits the highest scoring Tender.\nThe MAT ratio for this Tender is as follows:\nCommercial:\tPass/Fail\nQuality:\t  80%\nValue for Money:\t20%\nAny non-weighted elements shall be evaluated as pass/fail and any Tenders which receive a \u0027Fail\u0027 will be excluded from further participation in the Procurement.\nQuality will be assessed on three dimensions:\nUnderstanding the requirements and context (A01): 25%\nMethodology and approach (A02): 30%\nAbility to deliver (A03): 25%\nValue for money will be scored based on total contract price, the scale and quality of the proposed deliverables and the staffing resource required to complete the project."
        },
        "contractPeriod": {
          "endDate": "2027-12-31T23:59:59Z",
          "startDate": "2026-03-02T00:00:00Z"
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        "value": {
          "amount": 80000,
          "amountGross": 96000,
          "currency": "GBP"
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    "mainProcurementCategory": "services",
    "procurementMethod": "open",
    "procurementMethodDetails": "Below threshold - open competition",
    "status": "active",
    "submissionMethodDetails": "Tenders should be submitted to tim.butcher@lowpay.gov.uk, copying lpc@lowpay.gov.uk.",
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    "tenderPeriod": {
      "endDate": "2026-02-02T14:00:00Z"
    },
    "title": "Employment effects of the National Living Wage",
    "value": {
      "amount": 80000,
      "amountGross": 96000,
      "currency": "GBP"
    }
  }
}